Implementation Guide

Climate Risk & Opportunity Assessment Guidefor Group 3 Entities

A practical framework for conducting materiality assessments and preparing for mandatory climate reporting from July 2027

Last updated: May 2025

Climate risk assessment visualization

Executive Summary

Group 3 companies must start climate reporting from July 2027, but should begin materiality assessments now. The process determines whether you need full disclosures or can simply state no material climate risks exist.

01

Establish Governance

Build oversight and accountability framework

  • Board oversight of climate risks
  • Cross-functional assessment team
  • Robust documentation processes
02

Identify Risks

Map physical and transition risks/opportunities

  • Physical risks (acute & chronic)
  • Transition risks (policy, technology)
  • Strategic opportunities
03

Scenario Analysis

Test resilience under different climate futures

  • Mandatory 1.5°C scenario
  • High warming 2.5°C+ scenario
  • Short, medium, long-term impacts
04

Assess Materiality

Determine financial significance of impacts

  • Quantitative thresholds (5%+ rule)
  • Qualitative strategic importance
  • Individual and aggregate impacts

📅 Implementation Timeline for Group 3 Companies

Start preparing now for mandatory reporting beginning July 2027

2025-26
Begin Assessment
2026-27
Complete Framework
2027+
Mandatory Reporting

Who is Group 3?

Group 3 entities are companies required to report under Chapter 2M of the Corporations Act that meet two of three thresholds: consolidated revenue ≥$50 million, consolidated assets ≥$25 million, or 100+ employees in Australia.

Key Date: July 2027

Group 3 entities must start reporting for financial years commencing on or after 1 July 2027. However, preparation should begin now to ensure compliance and identify strategic opportunities.

Why Materiality Assessment Matters

Material information is what could reasonably be expected to affect primary users' (investors, creditors) decisions about the entity. Your materiality assessment determines whether you need comprehensive climate disclosures or can simply state no material climate-related risks and opportunities exist.

Critical Point

This decision must be thoroughly documented and defensible, especially for climate-sensitive sectors. Regulatory scrutiny will be particularly intense for companies that claim no material climate risks exist.

Step-by-Step Materiality Assessment Process

1

Establish Governance Framework

Board Oversight

Directors must monitor climate-related risks and opportunities and ensure management has appropriate expertise.

Cross-Functional Team

Include finance, risk, operations, and sustainability expertise

Documentation Standards

Create processes for recording all assessment decisions and rationale

2

Identify Climate Risks and Opportunities

Physical Risks

  • • Acute: Cyclones, floods, bushfires, heatwaves
  • • Chronic: Rising sea levels, temperature shifts
  • • Supply chain disruptions
  • • Infrastructure damage

Transition Risks

  • • Policy changes (carbon pricing)
  • • Technology shifts (renewable energy)
  • • Market changes (consumer preferences)
  • • Reputation risks

Opportunities

• New products/services for low-carbon economy

• Cost savings from energy efficiency

• Access to green financing

• Enhanced brand reputation

3

Conduct Scenario Analysis

Entities must develop at least two climate scenarios: one with global temperature increase of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, and another at least 2.5°C above pre-industrial levels.

1.5°C
Ambitious Climate Action
  • • Moderate temperature increase
  • • Manageable physical risks
  • • Rapid transition policies
  • • Carbon pricing $50-100/tonne
  • • Green investment opportunities
2.5°C+
High Physical Risk
  • • Severe temperature increase
  • • High physical risks
  • • Delayed transition policies
  • • Extreme weather events
  • • Major supply disruptions
4

Assess Financial Materiality

Quantitative Considerations

  • • Revenue impact (% of total revenue at risk)
  • • Cost increases (operational, capital expenditure)
  • • Asset impairment potential
  • • Insurance and financing costs

Qualitative Factors

  • • Strategic importance to business model
  • • Stakeholder concerns and expectations
  • • Regulatory environment
  • • Competitive positioning implications

📊 Climate Risk Assessment Matrix

Use this matrix to prioritize climate risks based on likelihood and impact:

Impact Level
Low Likelihood
Medium Likelihood
High Likelihood
High Impact
Monitor
Material
Material
Medium Impact
Low Priority
Monitor
Material
Low Impact
Low Priority
Low Priority
Monitor
Low Priority
Monitor
Material

Practical Example: Mid-Size Manufacturing Company

Company Profile

$75M revenue, 150 employees, metal fabrication for construction industry

1. Physical Risk Analysis

1.5°C scenario: Increased cooling costs, occasional supply disruptions
2.5°C scenario: Frequent extreme weather disrupting operations, worker safety concerns

Financial impact: 2-8% of annual operating costs

2. Transition Risk Analysis

  • • Carbon pricing: $30-80/tonne CO2 by 2030 affecting energy costs
  • • Building code changes requiring lower-carbon materials
  • • Customer demand for sustainable products

Financial impact: 3-12% revenue risk/opportunity

3. Materiality Conclusion

Material due to aggregate 5-20% financial impact across scenarios.
Required Disclosures: Full climate statements covering governance, strategy, risk management, and metrics including Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions.

🔀 Materiality Decision Flowchart

Conduct Materiality Assessment
Identify risks, run scenarios, assess financial impact
Are climate risks/opportunities material?
(≥5% financial impact or strategic significance)
YES: Full Disclosure
Complete climate statements, governance, strategy, risk management, metrics & targets
NO: Statement Only
Document robust rationale and state no material climate-related risks exist

Key Stakeholders in Assessment Process

Board of Directors
Oversight & accountability
Finance Team
Financial impact assessment
Risk Management
Risk identification & analysis
Operations
Operational impact insights

Common Pitfalls to Avoid

Narrow Focus

Don't only assess direct operations; consider supply chain and customer impacts

Short Time Horizons

Climate risks often manifest over decades, not just immediate business cycles

Static Assessment

Materiality changes over time as climate impacts accelerate

Insufficient Documentation

Regulatory scrutiny requires robust evidence and clear reasoning

Official Resources

Official Guidance & Standards

Key regulatory resources for Group 3 climate disclosure requirements.

Scenario Analysis Resources

Climate scenario databases and tools for conducting required 1.5°C and 2.5°C analysis.

Need Expert Help?

Our AI Sustainability Analyst can guide you through materiality assessments, scenario analysis, and regulatory compliance preparation.

Frequently Asked Questions

When do Group 3 companies need to start reporting?

Group 3 entities must start reporting for financial years commencing on or after 1 July 2027. However, you should begin your materiality assessment now to ensure compliance and build necessary capabilities well in advance.

What if we conclude climate risks are not material?

You can provide a statement that no material climate-related risks and opportunities exist, but this decision must be thoroughly documented with robust rationale. Expect regulatory scrutiny, especially if you're in a climate-sensitive sector.

What scenarios are mandatory for Group 3 companies?

You must conduct at least two climate scenarios: one consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5°C and another where warming exceeds 2.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Additional scenarios may be relevant depending on your circumstances.

How do we determine the 5% materiality threshold?

The 5% threshold is a general guideline for financial materiality. Consider both individual and aggregate impacts across revenue, costs, assets, and strategic importance. Climate risks may warrant lower thresholds due to their long-term nature and potential for cascading effects.

Do we need to report Scope 3 emissions?

Yes, if climate risks are deemed material. AASB S2 requires disclosure of Scope 1, 2, and 3 greenhouse gas emissions. There's a one-year relief period for Scope 3 emissions, so they become mandatory from your second reporting period.

What documentation is required for the assessment?

Document all methodology, assumptions, scenario inputs, impact calculations, and decision rationale. Include governance processes, stakeholder engagement, and regular review procedures. This documentation is crucial for regulatory compliance and potential audits.

📋 Implementation Checklist

Track your progress toward compliance readiness

2025-2026: Foundation

  • Establish board-level governance
  • Form cross-functional assessment team
  • Begin initial risk identification
  • Develop documentation processes
  • Invest in measurement capabilities

2026-2027: Implementation

  • Complete scenario analysis (1.5°C & 2.5°C)
  • Conduct financial materiality assessment
  • Develop reporting systems and processes
  • Conduct trial reporting runs
  • Finalize documentation and rationale

2027+: Compliance

  • Submit first mandatory sustainability report
  • Implement annual review processes
  • Prepare for limited assurance requirements
  • Monitor regulatory developments
  • Continuously improve data quality

Bottom Line

Start your materiality assessment now. Whether you conclude risks are material or not, the process must be thorough, documented, and defensible. Early preparation ensures compliance and may reveal strategic opportunities in the transition to a low-carbon economy.

Start your climate assessment today

CO₂ LAB's AI Sustainability Analyst can help you navigate materiality assessments, scenario analysis, and regulatory compliance for Group 3 climate reporting requirements.